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[問題討論] 今日炒乜輪?(九月奧運)即市輪場討論

布仔暫時話題在於救樓方面...
簡單就是美,投資可以很簡單
http://www.hkheadline.com/blog/reply_blog_express.asp?f=LSSG2KCC3K119602&id=138824

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Bush says financial rescue plan will be passed
President says lawmakers have differences but agree on need for action
By Ruth Mantell,Greg Robb &Robert Schroeder,MarketWatch
Last update:9:55a.m.EDT Sept.26,2008Comments:21WASHINGTON (MarketWatch)--President Bush said Friday that his administration and lawmakers will complete a rescue plan for the nation's battered financial markets despite simmering differences between congressional Republicans and Democrats over the $700billion package.
"We are going to get a package passed,"Bush said in a short statement at the White House.He said House Republicans who are seeking a different version of the plan have a right to be heard,but stressed that there is "no disagreement that something substantial needs to be done."
Bush's statement comes as efforts to approve the rescue for credit markets appeared to be collapsing Friday morning in the wake of the largest bank failure in U.S.history.
In rapid succession over the previous 16hours a White House meeting to achieve political consensus on a bailout plan failed;House Republicans presented an alternative bailout plan;Washington Mutual (WM:Washington Mutual Inc
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Last:0.03-1.66-98.22%

9:38am 09/26/2008

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WM 0.03,-1.66,-98.2%)was seized and sold to J.P.Morgan Chase (JPM:JPMorgan Chase &Co
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Last:43.19-0.27-0.62%

9:57am 09/26/2008

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JPM 43.19,-0.27,-0.6%),and U.S.politicians fell to public squabbling and finger pointing.
Wall Street fell sharply at the start of trading.See Market Snapshot.
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said in a TV interview that any bailout plan now depends on Republicans in the House of Representatives supporting the plan.
Sen.Chris Dodd,D-Conn.,chairman of the banking committee,said President Bush must bring House Republicans back to the talks,and that meetings would resume on Friday.A White House spokesman said there will be lots of meetings,phone calls and other activity Friday.
Carl Weinberg,chief economist with High Frequency Economics,wrote that frustration levels are high.
"Negotiations are now back to square one,or nearly so,according to some members of Congress,"Weinberg wrote."We are optimistic --make that hopeful --that someone will figure out how to save the banking system from having to value its tainted assets at zero next Wednesday...but this is now squarely in the hands of politicians."
Dodd said a deal could still be reached,but that Senate Democrats will balk at the Paulson plan --proposed by Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson --if they are aware House Republicans aren't participating.
"We're getting there,"Dodd said."Let this be a clear warning:The president and his party have got to decide whether they want to be a part of this."
Friday morning,Sen.Richard Shelby,R-Ala.,ranking member of the banking committee,said during a television interview:"I hope that we will not adopt the Paulson plan."
Need for speed
The White House has lobbied hard this week for speedy enactment of the plan.
Bush used a television address Wednesday night to make his case for the plan,warning Americans that the economy is in grave danger if it isn't approved.
And Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke have repeatedly made the case for speedy enactment as a way of enabling financial institutions to begin offloading illiquid assets.
But key members of Congress have been concerned about pushing through a plan that puts taxpayers at risk and does too little to address the root causes of the economic slowdown.
A Thursday meeting at the White House blew up in acrimony,sending Republicans and Democrats back to their corners to regroup and decide how to proceed.
House Republicans refused a Democratic demand to come back to the table,and talks ended for the night.The impasse led House Democrats to insist that they will not bring Paulson's plan to a vote without Republican support.
But there's also clearly political calculus at work,with a presidential election looming and incumbents keen to recess Congress to go campaign themselves.
"If House Republicans continue to reject the President's approach,there will be no bill,"said Rep.Barney Frank,chairman of the House Financial Services Committee.
簡單就是美,投資可以很簡單
http://www.hkheadline.com/blog/reply_blog_express.asp?f=LSSG2KCC3K119602&id=138824

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香港股份在美國最後成交價
公司名稱     最新價(美元)        相對香港股價(港元)        漲跌(美元)        漲跌幅(%)
-----------------------------------------------
匯豐控股            81.5            127.14              -0.09          -0.11  
上海石油化工股份        23.11           1.80               -0.29          -1.24  
中國石油化工股份        85.43           6.66               -1.8           -2.06  
中國東方航空股份        17.64           1.38               -0.28          -1.56  
中國電信            42.84           3.34               -1.5           -3.38  
中國聯通            14.92           11.64              -0.1           -0.67  
中國石油股份          111.49           8.70               -2.03          -1.79  
中國海洋石油          125.31           9.77               -4.93          -3.79  
華能國際電力股份        28.93           5.64               -0.86          -2.89  
中國網通            44.66           17.42              -0.44          -0.98  
中國移動            50.53           78.83              -1.61          -3.09  
中芯國際            1.5            0.23               -0.03          -1.96  
中國南方航空股份        10.1            1.58               0.17           1.71  
城市電訊            3.33            1.30               0.18           5.71  
兗州煤業股份          12.12           1.89               -0.59          -4.64  
和記電訊國際          17.28           8.99               0.02           0.12  
中國鋁業            16.62           5.19               -1.18          -6.63  
中國人壽            57.25           29.77              -0.87          -1.5  

點解負0既!?adr個網都升左3百幾點?
如果用返星期5的收市價來睇,5仔係升,但941係跌,2628就升,等等...係咪應該咁對返來可以計到條數呢...
簡單就是美,投資可以很簡單
http://www.hkheadline.com/blog/reply_blog_express.asp?f=LSSG2KCC3K119602&id=138824

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星期一小心地產股頂唔到...
簡單就是美,投資可以很簡單
http://www.hkheadline.com/blog/reply_blog_express.asp?f=LSSG2KCC3K119602&id=138824

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世事多变数,寻日讲紧7000亿有经济学家唔同意,今日又话基本上达成共识,仲话好有信心吸开市前获得通过.真系估它唔到.道指只升121,ADR 亦升得唔多,好多人在观望.

牛熊中成交额最多0既系31416同31255,街货量达到9%及7%,系近期0既高量,听日估计走势有两个

1)短线三角整理系18440-18620运行,呢个系比较悲观0既睇法,如果3:00欧洲股市开市大升,就证明美国7000亿有好大机会获得通过,0甘就可以参考估计2

2)中期三角整理系18440-19400运行,破到仲要睇19700及19900,由于A 股休市一星期,所以港股就好睇外围走势喇

策略:一定唔玩牛仔31424,因为上升轨系18440,免得先被杀再弹上,所以会玩17800回收0既牛仔31416,等31424被杀后就加多一注.上望19400.仲要密切留意3:00后欧洲股市0既走势决定系咪提早加注牛仔,A 股成个星期都没有市,大户炒上炒落比较容易,真系能破19700-19900就买第一注熊仔21172,穿20200就加多一注30964熊仔

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Final rescue plan expected Sunday
Deal to provide $250billion upfrontelosi cites 'significant bipartisan work'
By Ruth Mantell,MarketWatch
Last update:10:28a.m.EDT Sept.28,2008Comments:4WASHINGTON (MarketWatch)--U.S.officials expect to announce a final agreement Sunday on the massive rescue plan for the country's financial system,with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's office saying "significant bipartisan work has built consensus."
White House spokesman Tony Fratto said the Bush administration and members of Congress will want to see the legislative language Sunday morning once staff completes drafting the agreement.
"We're very pleased with the agreement,"Fratto said."It has taken an extraordinary bipartisan effort."
Fratto said Bush had made a calls Saturday to Republican leaders working on the plan and spoke with Pelosi in the evening.
A draft proposal from Pelosi's office indicates that the agreement won't initially provide the $700billion requested earlier by the Treasury Department,but requires review from lawmakers for future payments.The agreement would authorize $250billion upon date of enactment,with another $100billion upon presidential certification of need,according to a Pelosi aide.The other $350billion would be subject to congressional review.
"If the government loses money,the financial industry will pay back the taxpayers,"the draft proposal says.
The government,as the owner of mortgages and mortgage-backed securities,will work to facilitate loan modifications,aiming to curb foreclosures.
The agreement will also limit compensation for executives at participating companies,and provide for oversight for the plan.
Ruth Mantell is a MarketWatch reporter based in Washington.
簡單就是美,投資可以很簡單
http://www.hkheadline.com/blog/reply_blog_express.asp?f=LSSG2KCC3K119602&id=138824

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方案通過,但唔係一次過批晒,而係分段,大家自己睇以上段野來分析啦...
最主要係,大家都一早估到多數通過,咁上星期5點解大家唔合力入市呢?
其2)同一個消息,可以不同的演繹,大戶要點做野,只有佢地先會知道,最後都係睇星期一朝佢地想點炒,持牛好熊好,大家睇位轉身要快就係依家呢個市應有的技巧,唔貼市絕對不建議玩...
相信老美又玩果招,明早公佈一切,先test亞洲盤,歐洲果面都係睇惶呢面收市同美國開市來玩...
簡單就是美,投資可以很簡單
http://www.hkheadline.com/blog/reply_blog_express.asp?f=LSSG2KCC3K119602&id=138824

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