Buy in May and stay away?
Do you think this month is another chance to buy at cheap and stay away for the rest of year until HSI peak over 3xxxx?Cheers! 我覺得buy on may and sell on july Any reason to sell in July? 因為個人覺得好多股會係奧運前炒起!
7月開始時就可能會回落:) icic, thanks.
I am more of a long term investor, I don't sell unless the company fundamental changes.
Since market timing is sooooo difficult...
I think buying in May as this is the 2nd leg of the HSI dip since March will have great return over the long term. The global atmosphere is not so good, it would be better to keep the cash on hand in waiting for the opportunity!:smilies69: [quote]原帖由 [i]poalan1[/i] 於 2008-5-8 12:47 發表 [url=http://getjetso.com/forum/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=463448&ptid=266302][img]http://getjetso.com/forum/images/common/back.gif[/img][/url]
The global atmosphere is not so good, it would be better to keep the cash on hand in waiting for the opportunity!:smilies69: [/quote]
Cash is the worst asset class in these times (inflation).
:smilies66:
As long as the company you intend to buy have good growth prospect and good cash flow, one should buy it when HSI being sold heavily.
[[i] 本帖最後由 hoodmulti 於 2008-5-8 13:13 編輯 [/i]] I agree with Hoodmulti, nowadays, keeping cash in hand means you just give up the chance to use "money create money". and it's always true that to invest in a good company's share will give you a good return after a period of time (t), usually the (t) is refer to at least over 1 year. so if we only want to have a short-term's investment, better don't touch the stock market. 似乎大家都有讀econ!!
gjs既網友真係叻:smilies54: [quote]原帖由 [i]Diamond[/i] 於 2008-5-8 16:39 發表 [url=http://getjetso.com/forum/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=463656&ptid=266302][img]http://getjetso.com/forum/images/common/back.gif[/img][/url]
I agree with Hoodmulti, nowadays, keeping cash in hand means you just give up the chance to use "money create money". and it's always true that to invest in a good company's share will give you a good... [/quote]
As you mention "time", its funny that when buying warrant, time is a reduction factor to your asset bought, yet when buying stock, it is your best friend. [quote]原帖由 [i]hoodmulti[/i] 於 2008-5-8 17:51 發表 [url=http://getjetso.com/forum/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=463726&ptid=266302][img]http://getjetso.com/forum/images/common/back.gif[/img][/url]
As you mention "time", its funny that when buying warrant, time is a reduction factor to your asset bought, yet when buying stock, it is your best friend. [/quote]
yes, as i'm also just learning how to be a smart investor, there's lot of think is out of our expectation, and "luck" sometime is also a very important factor on it, hope that all of us will be the winner at the end I think the Olympic Games has nothing to do with the stock market anymore this year...
Anyway, the subprime mortgage crisis in the US hasn't been solved yet. Also, the China stock market is still very unstable.
Moreover, there are signs in the HK stock market that it is going to drop. For example, HSBC holdings has not been following the HSI recently.
Of course, nobody can be sure whether the market will rise or drop, but it seems that it is more likely to drop than to rise.
I think it is better to sell most of the stock now and change to warrants or Japanese Yen [quote]原帖由 [i]friedrich22hk[/i] 於 2008-5-9 02:47 發表 [url=http://getjetso.com/forum/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=463943&ptid=266302][img]http://getjetso.com/forum/images/common/back.gif[/img][/url]
I think the Olympic Games has nothing to do with the stock market anymore this year...
Anyway, the subprime mortgage crisis in the US hasn't been solved yet. Also, the China stock market is still very... [/quote]
[size=4]沈大輸 today is finally do some good to the society and said it. It is what most people failed on.[/size]
2008-05-09
實戰理論：期指減倉再跌有限
經過前日的一跌，昨日市況表現仍反覆，但成交即時萎縮，反映投資情緒仍審慎。恒指收25449點，暫守穩於20日平均線之上，筆者需要再多觀察一兩天才可判斷後市的去向。期指的未平倉合約在前天銳減3693張，相信當日的震盪已令不少投資者平倉離場。現時的倉底低於10萬張，這是近年罕見的，故此，筆者相信大市再跌的空間有限，除非這兩天倉底再大幅增加，則另作別論。昨日期指收25308點，已經連續兩天低於5月份期指的轉倉水平，相信現時大戶的倉底會是淡倉為主。在淡倉主導的情況下，要留意覑大市向下的支持位。第一個支持位為25200點，第二個支持位為24800點。故此，在現階段仍是無貨一身輕，不用心急入市。
五月處大型上落市
其實筆者估計5月份的大市應是處於大型上落市格局，預期波幅24800至26400點，現時正處中間位，是比較尷尬的水平，惟有耐性一點去等待。筆者始終都是一貫的策略，小心一點去作部署，不要成為「口講投資、實為賭錢」的投機者。講到投機，筆者也不反對，但在作出投機建議之時，一定會事先講明箇中風險。[color=DarkRed][size=6]筆者最反對的就是用長線投資的理據去作為建議投機的理由，這是極為危險的動作，令讀者錯誤評估風險。[/size][/color]這幾年市場上出現的一些結構性產品，例如ELN及 Accumulator，就是被包裝成適合長線投資者的高風險產品。昨日大市表現最吸引的應算中資電訊股，普遍逆市造好。其中中電信（728）逆市升 2.6%，逐步挑戰高位，只要升破100日線5.57元水平，上望目標6.5元。作者沈振盈為證監會持牌人士
[[i] 本帖最後由 hoodmulti 於 2008-5-9 10:53 編輯 [/i]]
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